Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Jul 10, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
0 - 0
Fenix

Musto (55'), Ramos (60'), Viatri (72'), Aguirregaray (86'), Ceppelini (90+2')

Alfaro (5'), Barboza (21'), Amado (90+5')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Fenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Fenix
56.45% ( 0.22)	25.38% ( 0.25)	18.17% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 42.16% (

-1.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.07% (

-1.39)

58.94% (

1.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.58% (

-1.09)

79.42% (

1.1)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.06% (

-0.47)

20.95% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.31% (

-0.74)

53.69% (

0.75)

Fenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.33% (

-1.38)

46.68% (

1.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.76% (

-1.08)

82.24% (

1.08)

Score Analysis

Penarol 56.44%

Fenix 18.17%

Draw 25.38%

Penarol	Draw	Fenix
1-0 @ 15.28% ( 0.58) 2-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.06% Total : 56.44%	1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.5% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.32% Total : 18.17%