Jul 10, 2022 at 11pm UK at Estadio Campeón del Siglo
0 - 0
Alfaro (5'), Barboza (21'), Amado (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Fenix.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.