Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2

Aug 7, 2022 at 10.30pm UK

Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
2 - 3
Penarol

Balboa (61'), Mallo (68')
Rabino (43'), Sant'Anna (55')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mendez (5'), Laquintana (48'), Ramos (71')
Arias (45+1'), Ramos (54'), Laquintana (57'), Viatri (67')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 1-0 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Defensor Sporting	Draw	Penarol
22.29% ( -0.29)	26.94% ( -0)	50.77% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 43.61% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.97% (

-0.22)

60.03% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.74% (

-0.17)

80.26% (

0.17)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.26% (

-0.42)

42.74% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.93% (

-0.36)

79.07% (

0.36)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16% (

0.03)

23.84% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.98% (

0.05)

58.02% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Defensor Sporting 22.29%

Penarol 50.76%

Draw 26.93%

Defensor Sporting	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.06% Total : 22.29%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.93%	0-1 @ 14.6% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 10.47% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 50.76%