Defensor
2 - 1
Penarol

Lamas (6'), Mendez (32')
Laquintana (40'), Ivanov (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gonzalez (69')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Defensor Sporting	Draw	Penarol
33.23%	27.34%	39.43%

Both teams to score 49.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.01%

55.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.92%

77.08%

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.48%

31.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.09%

67.91%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.29%

27.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.73%

63.28%

Score Analysis

Defensor Sporting 33.23%

Penarol 39.43%

Draw 27.34%

Defensor Sporting	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 5.82% 3-1 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.23%	1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 11.21% 1-2 @ 8.3% 0-2 @ 7.19% 1-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.43%