Defensor
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jul 17, 2022 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
2 - 1
Danubio

Sant'Anna (36'), Ferrari (59')
Barrios (7'), Sant'Anna (88'), de los Santos (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gonzalez (76')
Ferreira (11')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

Last Six:
Last Game: Boston River 2-3 Defensor
Sunday, July 10 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Danubio

Last Six:
Last Game: Danubio 1-3 River Plate
Sunday, July 10 at 4pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 43.35%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 1-2 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 1-0 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawDanubio
28.2% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)28.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)43.35% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 44.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.58% (0.016000000000005 0.02)61.42% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.69% (0.012 0.01)81.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.85% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)38.15% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.09% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)74.91% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (0.037000000000006 0.04)28.14% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (0.046999999999997 0.05)63.82% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 28.19%
    Danubio 43.35%
    Draw 28.44%
Defensor SportingDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.32% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.03% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 28.19%
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.01%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.44%
0-1 @ 13.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.63% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 43.35%

Head to Head
May 22, 2022 7.30pm
Danubio
1-2
Defensor
Rodriguez (5')
Rea (76')
Cabrera (81')
Navarro (45+8' pen.), Balboa (78' pen.)
Rocha (39'), Matturro (89')
Balboa (81')
Feb 28, 2021 10.15pm
Defensor
1-1
Danubio
Milan (90+4')
Mallo (14'), Zeballos (58'), (90+1'), (90+4'), (90+6')
Mallo (90+1')
Mederos (86')
Victorino (52'), Rodriguez (74'), Mederos (87'), Comachi (90+3')
Oct 18, 2020 7pm
Danubio
0-0
Defensor

Mendez (60'), Pantaleone (64'), Victorino (67')

Boggio (27'), Gonzalez (57'), Viudez (77')
Viudez (79')
Sep 6, 2020 7pm
Danubio
0-0
Defensor

Siles (16'), Dominguez (35')

Gonzalez (12'), Cardacio (67'), Gonzalez (68'), Coelho (90')
Nov 2, 2019 7pm
Defensor
1-2
Danubio
Gonzalez (10')
Alvarez (26'), Malvino (86')
Victorino (33'), Pantaleone (72')
Gutierrez (8'), Jones (43'), Cristoforo (93')
rhs 2.0


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