Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2022 at 12am UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Fenix

Penarol
0 - 1
Fenix


Arias (20'), Rivero (45'), Milesi (69'), Gargano (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vega (90+4' pen.)
Schetino (38'), (44'), Nunez (89'), Vega (90+5'), Pereira (90+6')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Fenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

Last Six:
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Rentistas
Tuesday, July 26 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Fenix

Last Six:
Last Game: Torque 2-0 Fenix
Sunday, July 24 at 2.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 58.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 16.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.94%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
PenarolDrawFenix
58.8% (0.578 0.58)25.12% (-0.16 -0.16)16.09% (-0.417 -0.42)
Both teams to score 39.33% (-0.354 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.33% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)60.67% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.26% (-0.023 -0.02)80.74% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (0.21899999999999 0.22)20.7% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.7% (0.342 0.34)53.31% (-0.341 -0.34)
Fenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.6% (-0.585 -0.59)50.41% (0.586 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.06% (-0.406 -0.41)84.94% (0.40599999999999 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 58.79%
    Fenix 16.09%
    Draw 25.11%
PenarolDrawFenix
1-0 @ 16.43% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 12.94% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.79% (0.142 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 58.79%
1-1 @ 11.25% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.04% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-2 @ 3.86% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 16.09%

Head to Head
Jul 10, 2022 11pm
Penarol
0-0
Fenix

Musto (55'), Ramos (60'), Viatri (72'), Aguirregaray (86'), Ceppelini (90+2')

Alfaro (5'), Barboza (21'), Amado (90+5')
Feb 5, 2022 8pm
Fenix
1-0
Penarol
Vega (83')
Nunez (73'), Pallas (90+1')

Gargano (73'), Ramos (90+3')
Sep 18, 2021 12am
Penarol
0-0
Fenix

Kagelmacher (54'), Ceppelini (74'), Gargano (83')

Rodriguez (6'), Alfaro (26')
May 22, 2021 7pm
Fenix
0-0
Penarol

Souza (45+3'), Alvez (45+6'), Alfaro (78'), Amaral (79'), Mejia (79')
Souza (90+2')

Canobbio (24'), Musto (40'), Alvarez (70'), Abascal (80')
Mar 30, 2021 1.15am
Penarol
3-1
Fenix
A (32'), Terans (45', 64')
A (71')
Franco (57')
Rodriguez (18'), Pallas (19'), Franco (84')