Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Albion had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest Albion win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.