Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Sep 11, 2022 at 2pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
River Plate0 - 1Defensor
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Defensor Sporting.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerrito 1-5 River Plate
Monday, September 5 at 5.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, September 5 at 5.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 29 | 5 | 46 |
| 5 | River Plate | 28 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Penarol | 28 | 8 | 45 |
Last Game: Defensor 1-0 Wanderers
Saturday, September 3 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, September 3 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Penarol | 28 | 8 | 45 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 28 | 4 | 45 |
| 8 | Danubio | 29 | 6 | 44 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (11.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Defensor Sporting in this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
32.35% ( 0.02) | 29.49% ( 0.29) | 38.17% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 43.24% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
