Pereira (17'), Borbas (27')
Mathias Bogado (32'), Greising (56'), Ayala (61')
Mathias Bogado (90+4')
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, July 31 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 25.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
|River Plate||Draw||Plaza Colonia|
|46.75% ( -0.91)||27.85% ( 0.26)||25.39% ( 0.65)|
|Both teams to score 44.16% ( -0.14)|
|Over 2.5||Under 2.5|