Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.