Defensor
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Montevideo Wanderers

Defensor
1 - 0
Wanderers

Freitas (35')
Freitas (39'), Rocha (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lacerda (84'), Bravo (90+6')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

Last Six:
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-1 Defensor
Sunday, August 28 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Montevideo Wanderers

Last Six:
Last Game: Wanderers 0-0 Albion
Saturday, August 27 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawMontevideo Wanderers
33.24% (0.468 0.47)28.21% (0.047999999999998 0.05)38.56% (-0.513 -0.51)
Both teams to score 46.93% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.79% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)59.21% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.37% (-0.073 -0.07)79.63% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (0.276 0.28)33.18% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22% (0.302 0.3)69.78% (-0.301 -0.3)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)29.78% (0.352 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (-0.425 -0.43)65.85% (0.42699999999999 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 33.24%
    Montevideo Wanderers 38.55%
    Draw 28.2%
Defensor SportingDrawMontevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.9% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.28% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.68% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.21% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.24%
1-1 @ 13.2% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.88% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 11.96% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 38.55%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 10.15pm
Wanderers
1-0
Defensor
Mendez (90')
Acosta (41'), Estol (43'), Rivero (62')

Mallo (62'), Camargo (66'), Mendez (90'), Rodriguez (90+2')
Jan 18, 2021 12.45am
Defensor
1-1
Wanderers
Poggi (54')
Mallo Blanco (23'), Gonzalez (74'), Ivanov (90+2'), (90+2')
Hernandez (90+5')
Bueno (38')
Feb 15, 2020 11pm
Wanderers
0-0
Defensor

Reyes (23'), Perez (57'), Colombino (69')

(81'), (88'), (90')
Oct 17, 2019 11.30pm
Wanderers
2-0
Defensor
Barboza (16'), Riolfo (44' pen.)
Gonzalez (45'), De Arruabarrena (53')

Alvarez (31'), Menosse (63')
Menosse (63')
Mar 24, 2019 7pm
Defensor
1-1
Wanderers
Navarro (17')
Carrera (20'), Navarro (42'), Rabunal (61')
Beltran (72')
Barreto (45')
Barrandeguy (19'), Barreto (40'), Cabrera (41'), Macaluso (44'), Albarracin (55'), Gonzalez (62'), Morales (89')
Barrandeguy (26')