Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6

Aug 20, 2022 at 10pm UK

Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
2 - 0
Wanderers

Carballo (15', 59')
Lozano (56'), Rochet (88'), Rodriguez (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bravo (22'), Acosta (44'), Wagner (70'), Castro (90'), Aguirre (90+3')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 14.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.61%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
61.78% ( -0.08)	23.87% ( 0.01)	14.35% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 38.95% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.89% (

0.09)

59.11% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.44% (

0.07)

79.56% (

-0.06)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.05% (

18.95% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.54% (

0.01)

50.46% (

-0)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.05% (

0.16)

51.95% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.03% (

0.1)

85.97% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Nacional 61.77%

Montevideo Wanderers 14.35%

Draw 23.86%

Nacional	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 16.37% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 61.77%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.86%	0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 14.35%

Head to Head

Mar 20, 2022 10.30pm

Wanderers

2-2

Nacional

Rivero (77'), Hernandez (90')
Bravo (22'), Lacerda (45+3'), (90+16')
Hernandez (90+1'), (90+15')

Castro (68'), Fagundez (90+10')
Castro (60'), Rodriguez (86'), Coelho (89'), (90'), (90+8'), Luis Rodriguez (90+11')
Rodriguez (90+8'), Zabala (90+8')

Oct 22, 2021 12.30am

Wanderers

1-0

Nacional

Aguirre (42')
Veglio (26'), Pais (79'), Wagner (90+5')

Candido (22'), Fernandez (75'), Zunino (89')

Jun 24, 2021 7.45pm

Nacional

3-0

Wanderers

Bergessio (4', 53' pen., 71')
Vega (45'), Bergessio (60')

Torres (37'), Abero (78')