Nacional
2 - 1
Wanderers

Orihuela (24'), Carballo (47')
Orihuela (40'), (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Perez (8')
Barreto (25'), Araujo (37'), Bueno (81'), (90+4')
Araujo (90+4')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Montevideo Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
37.96%	28.17%	33.88%

Both teams to score 47.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.02%

58.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.54%

79.46%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.97%

30.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.85%

66.15%

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.38%

32.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.84%

69.16%

Score Analysis

Nacional 37.95%

Montevideo Wanderers 33.87%

Draw 28.17%

Nacional	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 11.78% 2-1 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.95%	1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.79% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.17%	0-1 @ 10.97% 1-2 @ 7.39% 0-2 @ 6.15% 1-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.87%