Uruguayan Primera Division
Jan 14, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Montevideo Wanderers

Nacional
0 - 0
Wanderers


Trasante (78'), Orihuela (79')
FT
(aet)

Martinez (40'), Barreto (49')
Nacional win 4-1 on penalties
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Montevideo Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%).

Result
NacionalDrawMontevideo Wanderers
36.45%27.41%36.14%
Both teams to score 49.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.99%56.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.9%77.1%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.53%29.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.52%65.48%
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.33%29.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.28%65.71%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 36.45%
    Montevideo Wanderers 36.13%
    Draw 27.41%
NacionalDrawMontevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 7.93%
2-0 @ 6.53%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 36.45%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 8.74%
2-2 @ 4.82%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 10.62%
1-2 @ 7.89%
0-2 @ 6.46%
1-3 @ 3.2%
0-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 36.13%