Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 26, 2022 at 10.15pm UK
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
Defensor

Wanderers
1 - 0
Defensor

Mendez (90')
Acosta (41'), Estol (43'), Rivero (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mallo (62'), Camargo (66'), Mendez (90'), Rodriguez (90+2')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Defensor Sporting.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montevideo Wanderers in this match.

Result
Montevideo WanderersDrawDefensor Sporting
40.35%28.12%31.52%
Both teams to score 46.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.76%59.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.34%79.65%
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25%28.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42%64.58%
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6%34.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89%71.11%
Score Analysis
    Montevideo Wanderers 40.35%
    Defensor Sporting 31.52%
    Draw 28.12%
Montevideo WanderersDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 12.32%
2-1 @ 8.2%
2-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 3.41%
3-0 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 40.35%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.12%
0-1 @ 10.55%
1-2 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 5.63%
1-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 31.52%