Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Oct 13, 2022 at 11pm UK
 

Albion
0 - 1
Nacional

FT(HT: 0-0)
Suarez (88')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Albion and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerrito 0-0 Albion
Saturday, October 8 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 1-1 Defensor
Saturday, October 8 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 65.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Albion had a probability of 13.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.66%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an Albion win it was 1-0 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
AlbionDrawNacional
13.77% (0.201 0.2)20.86% (0.179 0.18)65.37% (-0.384 -0.38)
Both teams to score 45.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (-0.318 -0.32)49.22% (0.315 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.71% (-0.287 -0.29)71.28% (0.283 0.28)
Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.19% (0.116 0.12)46.8% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.65% (0.085999999999999 0.09)82.34% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (-0.22 -0.22)14.27% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.93% (-0.427 -0.43)42.06% (0.42299999999999 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Albion 13.77%
    Nacional 65.36%
    Draw 20.86%
AlbionDrawNacional
1-0 @ 5.07% (0.081 0.08)
2-1 @ 3.75% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 1.93% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 0.95% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 13.77%
1-1 @ 9.87% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.085 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.65% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 20.86%
0-1 @ 13% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 12.66% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.61% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-3 @ 8.22% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 6.24% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-4 @ 4% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-4 @ 3.04% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.56% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 65.36%

Head to Head
May 21, 2022 9pm
Nacional
2-0
Albion
Rodriguez (70'), Zabala (79')
Marichal (24'), Castro (53'), Rodriguez (71')
Trezza (32'), Repetto (83')

Correa (21'), Platero (39'), Ancheta (84')