Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 65.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Albion had a probability of 13.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.66%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an Albion win it was 1-0 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.