Oct 8, 2022 11.30pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Alfonso Trezza 34'

Fernando Elizari 46'

Nacional vs Defensor Sporting - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

D
D
D
W
W
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
D
D
W
W
W

Last game

Oct 1, 2022 10.00pm

Fenix 1 - 1 Nacional

Goals scored

74

Top scorer

Emmanuel Gigliotti

Defensor Sporting

All competitions

W
W
D
L
W
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
W
D
L
W
W

Last game

Oct 2, 2022 12.30am

Defensor 2 - 0 Albion

Goals scored

42

Top scorer

Adrian Balboa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 49.27%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

Nacional 49.27% ▼ (-1.99)

Draw 27.99% ▲ (+0.42)

Defensor Sporting 22.74% ▲ (+1.58)

Both Teams to Score:

41.49% ▲ (+0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.98% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 2.5 63.02% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 3.5 17.52% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 3.5 82.48% ▲ (+0.05)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 74.12% ▼ (-0.97)

Under 0.5 25.88% ▲ (+0.97)

Over 1.5 39.14% ▼ (-1.33)

Under 1.5 60.86% ▲ (+1.33)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5 55.98% ▲ (+1.61)

Under 0.5 44.02% ▼ (-1.61)

Over 1.5 19.86% ▲ (+1.30)

Under 1.5 80.14% ▼ (-1.29)

Score analysis

Nacional 49.26%

Draw 27.99%

Defensor Sporting 22.74%

Nacional

1-0 @ 15.4% ▼ (-0.39)

2-0 @ 10.4% ▼ (-0.58)

2-1 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.08)

3-0 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.40)

3-1 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.15)

4-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.19)

3-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.02)

4-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.09)

Other @ 1.92%

Total : 49.26%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.63% ▲ (+0.25)

0-0 @ 11.39% ▲ (+0.04)

2-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.13)

Other @ 0.46%

Total : 27.99%

Defensor Sporting

0-1 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.43)

1-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.32)

0-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.34)

1-3 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.15)

0-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-90.46)

Other @ 1.91%

Total : 22.74%

Head to Head

Jun 13, 2022 11.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Luis Franzini

Matias Rocha 63'

Felipe Carballo 33'
Ignacio Ramirez 76'
Leandro Lozano 90'+4'

May 14, 2022 10.00pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Luis Franzini

Facundo Mallo 68'
Adrian Balboa 85'
Agustin Sant'Anna 85'

Emmanuel Gigliotti 5'
Manuel Monzeglio 23'
Alfonso Trezza 40'
Leo Coelho 53'
Camilo Candido 77'
Emmanuel Gigliotti 87'

Mar 8, 2021 12.45am

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Felipe Carballo 23'
Emiliano Martinez 36'
Felipe Carballo 54'
Guzman Corujo 62'
Gonzalo Bergessio 80'

Facundo Milan 64'
Facundo Mallo 84'
Simeon Ivanov 90'+4'

Nov 7, 2020 9.00pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Gonzalo Bergessio 38'
Mathias Laborda 43'
Ignacio Lores 48'
Emiliano Martinez 51'
Ayrton Cougo 62'
Joaquin Trasante 68'
Mathias Laborda 70'

Renzo Rabino 9'
Vicente Poggi 15'
Kevin Mendez 28'
Alvaro Navarro 70'

Sep 11, 2020 12.15am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Alvaro Gonzalez 25'
Andres Lamas 45'+1'
Alvaro Navarro 90'+1'
90'+4'

Agustin Oliveros Cano 36'
Agustin Oliveros 36'
Gonzalo Bergessio 62'
Mathias Suarez 82'
88'

Nov 21, 2019 11.30pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Mauricio Gomez 32'
Martin Rabunal 40'
Alvaro Gonzalez 42'
Mauricio Gomez 82'

Felipe Carballo 9'
Mathias Cardacio 36'
Gonzalo Bergessio 80'
Mathias Cardacio 80'
Guillermo Cotugno 83'
Guzman Corujo 84'

Form Data

Fenix 1 - 1 Nacional

Nacional 1 - 1 Cerro Largo

River Plate 1 - 1 Nacional

Nacional 1 - 0 Boston River

Plaza Colonia 1 - 3 Nacional

Nacional 3 - 1 Penarol

Defensor 2 - 0 Albion

Cerrito 1 - 2 Defensor

Fenix 0 - 0 Defensor

Defensor 0 - 1 Cerro Largo

River Plate 0 - 1 Defensor

Defensor 1 - 0 Wanderers