Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.