Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg

Mar 3, 2023 at 12am UK

Castelao

Fortaleza
4 - 0
Maldonado

(Fortaleza win 4-0 on aggregate)

Galhardo (45+5'), Martin Lucero (83', 90+2', 90+2'), Augusto Vieira dos Santos (86'), Guilherme (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Fortaleza and Deportivo Maldonado.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Maldonado 0-0 Fortaleza
Friday, February 24 at 12am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Maldonado 3-2 Boston River
Sunday, February 26 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 76.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 6.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.66%) and 3-0 (11.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
76.78% ( 0.86)	16.29% ( -0.84)	6.93% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 35.11% (

2.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.98% (

3.29)

49.02% (

-3.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.9% (

2.9)

71.1% (

-2.9)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.06% (

1.15)

10.94% (

-1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.85% (

2.49)

35.15% (

-2.48)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.43% (

60.57% (

-2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.06% (

0.97)

90.94% (

-0.97)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 76.77%

Deportivo Maldonado 6.93%

Draw 16.29%

Fortaleza	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
2-0 @ 16.22% ( -0.66) 1-0 @ 14.66% ( -1.32) 3-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.42) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.37) 5-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.2) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.22) 6-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.88% Total : 76.77%	1-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.94) 2-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.27% Total : 16.29%	0-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.77% Total : 6.93%