Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Feb 11, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel

Maldonado
1 - 1
Racing

Alfaro (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rey (71')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-1 Maldonado
Monday, February 6 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 0-2 Boston River
Saturday, February 4 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.37%) and 1-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (12.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawRacing de Montevideo
32.53% (-0.949 -0.95)30.2% (1.082 1.08)37.26% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 41.41% (-2.988 -2.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.12% (-3.538 -3.54)65.87% (3.534 3.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.5% (-2.515 -2.52)84.5% (2.511 2.51)
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.74% (-2.609 -2.61)37.26% (2.604 2.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (-2.666 -2.67)74.04% (2.663 2.66)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66% (-1.941 -1.94)33.99% (1.937 1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.32% (-2.151 -2.15)70.67% (2.146 2.15)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Maldonado 32.52%
    Racing de Montevideo 37.26%
    Draw 30.2%
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawRacing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 12.5% (0.73 0.73)
2-1 @ 6.66% (-0.436 -0.44)
2-0 @ 6.17% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.315 -0.32)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.243 -0.24)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 32.52%
1-1 @ 13.49% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 12.66% (1.56 1.56)
2-2 @ 3.59% (-0.444 -0.44)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 30.2%
0-1 @ 13.66% (1.03 1.03)
0-2 @ 7.37% (0.183 0.18)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.075 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.272 -0.27)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.239 -0.24)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 37.26%