Brasileiro | Gameweek 34

Oct 27, 2022 at 11pm UK

Castelao

Fortaleza
3 - 1
Coritiba

Capixaba (2', 55'), Romarinho (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cadorini (60')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Coritiba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions

Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, October 25 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Coritiba

All competitions

Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Internacional
Sunday, October 23 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 17.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Coritiba
60.4% ( 0.26)	21.77% ( -0.01)	17.82% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 51.82% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.33% (

-0.36)

45.67% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32% (

-0.34)

67.99% (

0.34)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.32% (

-0.04)

14.67% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.16% (

-0.07)

42.84% (

0.06)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.73% (

-0.51)

39.26% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.03% (

-0.48)

75.97% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 60.39%

Coritiba 17.82%

Draw 21.76%

Fortaleza	Draw	Coritiba
1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 60.39%	1-1 @ 10.33% 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.76%	0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.14% Total : 17.82%