Copa Libertadores
Mar 9, 2023 10.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
  • goal Diego Churin 34'

Fortaleza vs Cerro Porteno - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions

Cerro Porteno

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 57.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 18.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Fortaleza 57.96% (-0.13)
Draw 23.75% (+0.05)
Cerro Porteno 18.29% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.69% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.02% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 52.98% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 25.42% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 74.58% (+0.05)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5 81.93% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 18.06% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 51.02% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 48.98% (+0.11)

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5 56.99% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 43.01% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 20.7% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 79.3% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Fortaleza 57.94%
Draw 23.74%
Cerro Porteno 18.29%
Fortaleza
1-0 @ 13.29%
2-0 @ 11.37% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.78% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 57.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.21% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.77% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 23.74%
Cerro Porteno
0-1 @ 6.56% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.73% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.77% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 18.29%