Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 57.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 18.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Cerro Porteno
57.96% ( -0.12)	23.75% ( 0.04)	18.29% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 46.69% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.02% (

-0.05)

52.98% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.42% (

-0.04)

74.58% (

0.04)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.93% (

-0.06)

18.06% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.02% (

-0.11)

48.98% (

0.11)

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.99% (

0.07)

43.01% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.7% (

0.06)

79.3% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 57.94%

Cerro Porteno 18.29%

Draw 23.74%

Fortaleza	Draw	Cerro Porteno
1-0 @ 13.29% 2-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 57.94%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.74%	0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 18.29%