Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 28, 2023 at 10pm UK
General Pablo Rojas Stadium

Cerro Porteno
1 - 0
Curico

Morales (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Cerro Porteno and Curico Unido.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Porteno

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Last Game: Curico 0-1 Cerro Porteno
Wednesday, February 22 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
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Curico Unido

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Last Game: Curico 0-1 Cerro Porteno
Wednesday, February 22 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Curico Unido had a probability of 18.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Curico Unido win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerro Porteno in this match.

Result
Cerro PortenoDrawCurico Unido
58.51% (0.012 0.01)23.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)18.1% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.38% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.12% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)51.88% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.37% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)73.63% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.07% (0.011000000000003 0.01)47.93% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Curico Unido Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)42.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.05% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)78.95% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Porteno 58.5%
    Curico Unido 18.1%
    Draw 23.38%
Cerro PortenoDrawCurico Unido
1-0 @ 12.98%
2-0 @ 11.32%
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 6.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 58.5%
1-1 @ 11.07%
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 23.38%
0-1 @ 6.35% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 18.1%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2023 12am
Second Round
Curico
0-1
Cerro Porteno

Barrios (61'), Leiva (70')
Patino (89')
Carrizo (30'), Espinola (56'), Churin (77')