Copa Sudamericana | First Round

Mar 9, 2023 at 10pm UK

Cobresal
0 - 1
Palestino

FT(HT: 0-1)

Davila (28')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Cobresal and Palestino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cobresal

Last Game: Palestino 2-1 Cobresal
Friday, April 9 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Palestino

Last Game: Palestino 1-2 Libertad
Tuesday, May 25 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cobresal win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cobresal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Palestino win was 0-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Cobresal	Draw	Palestino
50.25% ( -0.2)	24.13% ( 0.08)	25.63% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 55.22% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.48% (

-0.23)

46.53% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.2% (

-0.21)

68.8% (

0.22)

Cobresal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.45% (

-0.16)

18.56% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.19% (

-0.28)

49.81% (

0.28)

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.8% (

-0.02)

32.2% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.31% (

-0.02)

68.69% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Cobresal 50.25%

Palestino 25.63%

Draw 24.12%

Cobresal	Draw	Palestino
1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.34% Total : 50.25%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.12%	0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 25.63%