Fluminense
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 18, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Fluminense
1 - 0
The Strongest

Nino (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Fluminense and The Strongest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: The Strongest 3-1 River Plate
Tuesday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 70.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 11.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawThe Strongest
70.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)18.37% (0.012 0.01)11.28% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.52% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)44.48% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.15% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)66.85% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)11.42% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.81% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)36.19% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)47.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.8% (0.0040000000000013 0)83.2% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 70.34%
    The Strongest 11.28%
    Draw 18.37%
FluminenseDrawThe Strongest
2-0 @ 12.89%
1-0 @ 11.87%
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 9.33% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 6.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 5.06% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.72% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52%
5-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 70.34%
1-1 @ 8.73% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 18.37%
0-1 @ 4.02% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 3.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 11.28%

How you voted: Fluminense vs The Strongest

Fluminense
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
The Strongest
20.0%
5