Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 4, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles

The Strongest
3 - 1
River Plate

Triverio (25' pen., 35'), Castillo (48')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Beltran (66' pen.)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between The Strongest and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

The Strongest

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Last Game: Ceara 3-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, July 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

River Plate

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Union
Saturday, April 1 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for The Strongest had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest The Strongest win was 1-0 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
The StrongestDrawRiver Plate
26.5% (3.805 3.81)24.26% (1.346 1.35)49.24% (-5.147 -5.15)
Both teams to score 55.59% (-0.307 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.59% (-2.347 -2.35)46.41% (2.351 2.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.3% (-2.25 -2.25)68.7% (2.252 2.25)
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56% (1.914 1.91)31.44% (-1.91 -1.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18% (2.157 2.16)67.82% (-2.154 -2.15)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.09% (-2.79 -2.79)18.91% (2.792 2.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.59% (-4.865 -4.87)50.41% (4.869 4.87)
Score Analysis
    The Strongest 26.5%
    River Plate 49.24%
    Draw 24.25%
The StrongestDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 6.88% (0.977 0.98)
2-1 @ 6.63% (0.714 0.71)
2-0 @ 3.98% (0.739 0.74)
3-1 @ 2.56% (0.392 0.39)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.153 0.15)
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.349 0.35)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 26.5%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.68 0.68)
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.57 0.57)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.122 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 9.9% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.54% (-0.291 -0.29)
0-2 @ 8.25% (-0.709 -0.71)
1-3 @ 5.3% (-0.686 -0.69)
0-3 @ 4.58% (-0.871 -0.87)
2-3 @ 3.06% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-4 @ 2.21% (-0.524 -0.52)
0-4 @ 1.91% (-0.58 -0.58)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.222 -0.22)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 49.24%

How you voted: The Strongest vs River Plate

The Strongest
20.0%
Draw
6.7%
River Plate
73.3%
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