Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for The Strongest had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest The Strongest win was 1-0 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.