Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Tigre win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.