Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 49.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.