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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25
Oct 14, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa

Newell's OB
0 - 2
Tigre


Velazquez (28'), Sforza (59')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Retegui (25' pen., 32')
Fernandez (19'), Leizza (81'), Ortega (90+2')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Tigre.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-3 Newell's OB
Tuesday, October 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 2-1 Independiente
Sunday, October 9 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawTigre
34.66% (-0.962 -0.96) 28.44% (-0.363 -0.36) 36.9% (1.327 1.33)
Both teams to score 46.44% (1.012 1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.1% (1.255 1.26)59.9% (-1.252 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.84% (0.947 0.95)80.16% (-0.946 -0.95)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)32.57% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.89% (0.015000000000001 0.02)69.11% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87% (1.487 1.49)31.13% (-1.486 -1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.54% (1.7 1.7)67.46% (-1.698 -1.7)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 34.66%
    Tigre 36.89%
    Draw 28.43%
Newell's Old BoysDrawTigre
1-0 @ 11.37% (-0.54 -0.54)
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.302 -0.3)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 13.27% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 10.13% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.43%
0-1 @ 11.83% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.266 0.27)
0-2 @ 6.9% (0.234 0.23)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.22 0.22)
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.194 0.19)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.89%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2018 12am
Newell's OB
2-0
Tigre
Fontanini (24'), Fertoli (67')
Leal (9'), Callegari (18'), Bittolo (65')

Galmarini (59'), Menossi (89')
rhs 2.0
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