Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.