Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 25
Oct 14, 2022 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Mateo Retegui 25'
  • goal Mateo Retegui 32'

Newell's Old Boys vs Tigre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 11, 2022 1.30am
C. Cordoba 0 - 3 Newell's OB

Tigre

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 9, 2022 5.00pm
Tigre 2 - 1 Independiente

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.

Result

Newell's Old Boys 34.66% (-0.97)
Draw 28.44% (-0.37)
Tigre 36.9% (+1.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.44% (+1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.1% (+1.26)
Under 2.5 59.9% (-1.26)
Over 3.5 19.84% (+0.95)
Under 3.5 80.16% (-0.95)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5 67.43% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.57% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 30.89% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.11% (-0.02)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5 68.87% (+1.49)
Under 0.5 31.13% (-1.49)
Over 1.5 32.54% (+1.71)
Under 1.5 67.46% (-1.70)

Score analysis

Newell's Old Boys 34.66%
Draw 28.43%
Tigre 36.89%
Newell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 11.37% (-0.55)
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.31)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 1.62% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.27% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 10.13% (-0.49)
2-2 @ 4.34% (+0.16)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.43%
Tigre
0-1 @ 11.83% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 7.75% (+0.27)
0-2 @ 6.9% (+0.24)
1-3 @ 3.01% (+0.22)
0-3 @ 2.69% (+0.20)
2-3 @ 1.69% (+0.13)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.89%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2018 12.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa (Rosario, Provincia de Santa Fe)
  • Luis Leal 9' yellowcard
  • Stefano Callegari 18' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Fontanini 24' goal
  • Mariano Bittolo 65' yellowcard
  • Hector Fertoli 67' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Galmarini 59'
  • yellowcard Lucas Menossi 89'