Club Friendlies
Jan 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Exploria Stadium
Vasco da Gama

River Plate
3 - 0
Vasco

Mammana (23'), Borja (45'), Beltran (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 1 Club Friendlies clash between River Plate and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Millonarios
Sunday, January 15 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Vasco da Gama

Last Game: Vasco 3-2 Goias
Friday, February 26 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 68.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 12.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawVasco da Gama
68.22% (1.19 1.19)19.08% (-0.507 -0.51)12.69% (-0.686 -0.69)
Both teams to score 48.22% (-0.306 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93% (0.64 0.64)44.06% (-0.643 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55% (0.621 0.62)66.44% (-0.624 -0.62)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.13% (0.518 0.52)11.87% (-0.519 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.83% (1.093 1.09)37.17% (-1.096 -1.1)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.71% (-0.674 -0.67)45.29% (0.66999999999999 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.84% (-0.54 -0.54)81.16% (0.53699999999999 0.54)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 68.21%
    Vasco da Gama 12.69%
    Draw 19.08%
River PlateDrawVasco da Gama
2-0 @ 12.2% (0.15 0.15)
1-0 @ 11.45% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 8.67% (0.281 0.28)
3-1 @ 6.87% (0.097 0.1)
4-0 @ 4.62% (0.24 0.24)
4-1 @ 3.66% (0.124 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.97% (0.14 0.14)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.084 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 68.21%
1-1 @ 9.08% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 19.08%
0-1 @ 4.26% (-0.203 -0.2)
1-2 @ 3.6% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-2 @ 1.69% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.045 -0.05)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 12.69%