Club Friendlies 1
Jan 18, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Emanuel Mammana 23' goal
  • Miguel Borja 45' goal
  • Lucas Beltran 87' goal

River Plate vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jan 15, 2023 12.30am
River Plate 2 - 0 Millonarios

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 68.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 12.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result

River Plate 68.22% (+1.19)
Draw 19.08% (-0.51)
Vasco da Gama 12.69% (-0.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.22% (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.93% (+0.65)
Under 2.5 44.06% (-0.65)
Over 3.5 33.55% (+0.63)
Under 3.5 66.44% (-0.63)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 88.13% (+0.52)
Under 0.5 11.87% (-0.52)
Over 1.5 62.83% (+1.10)
Under 1.5 37.17% (-1.10)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 54.71% (-0.68)
Under 0.5 45.29% (+0.67)
Over 1.5 18.84% (-0.55)
Under 1.5 81.16% (+0.54)

Score analysis

River Plate 68.21%
Draw 19.08%
Vasco da Gama 12.69%
River Plate
2-0 @ 12.2% (+0.15)
1-0 @ 11.45% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 8.67% (+0.29)
3-1 @ 6.87% (+0.10)
4-0 @ 4.62% (+0.25)
4-1 @ 3.66% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.97% (+0.15)
5-1 @ 1.56% (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.45% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 68.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.08% (-0.25)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 19.08%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 4.26% (-0.21)
1-2 @ 3.6% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 1.69% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 12.69%