Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 36.54%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.