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Patronato
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Oct 10, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Presbitero Bartolome Grella

Patronato
0 - 1
River Plate


Medina (27'), Castro (28'), Estigarribia (41'), Nahuel Banega (73'), Giani (89'), Altamirano (90+2')
Castro (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Borja (54')
Diaz (45'), Solari (66'), Mammana (68'), Paradela (90+4')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Patronato and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Patronato

All competitions
Last Game: Colon 1-0 Patronato
Wednesday, October 5 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

River Plate

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 5-0 Estudiantes
Thursday, October 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 15.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.73%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Patronato win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
PatronatoDrawRiver Plate
15.91% (0.105 0.11) 21.73% (0.0030000000000001 0) 62.36% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 48.02% (0.211 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.27% (0.165 0.16)48.73% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.16% (0.148 0.15)70.84% (-0.149 -0.15)
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.53% (0.23500000000001 0.24)43.47% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.31% (0.195 0.2)79.69% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.94% (0.02000000000001 0.02)15.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.42% (0.036999999999999 0.04)43.58% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Patronato 15.91%
    River Plate 62.35%
    Draw 21.73%
PatronatoDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 5.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 4.3% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.27% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.2% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.13% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 15.91%
1-1 @ 10.32%
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 21.73%
0-1 @ 12.39% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 11.73% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.77% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.4% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.17% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.92% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.022 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.011 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 62.35%

Head to Head
Feb 17, 2022 12.30am
River Plate
4-1
Patronato
Alvarez (21', 31', 50'), Quintero (79' pen.)
Diaz (6' og.)
Gudino (25'), Quintana (39')
Nov 7, 2021 11.15pm
River Plate
5-0
Patronato
Palavecino (13'), Alvarez (30', 37', 41', 74')

Geminiani (58')
Oct 6, 2019 9.45pm
River Plate
2-0
Patronato
Borre (59', 60')
Perez (74')

Aruga (42'), Lemos (81')
Jan 27, 2019 10.20pm
River Plate
1-3
Patronato
Ferreira (63')
Palacios (69')
Avalos (13', 36', 54')
Carabajal (27'), Comas (90')
rhs 2.0
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