Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.