Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.62%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.