Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Mar 20, 2023 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Lucas Beltran 7'
  • goal Agustin Palavecino 74'

Sarmiento vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarmiento

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 12, 2023 8.00pm
Racing 1 - 0 Sarmiento
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Luciano Gondou

River Plate

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 12, 2023 10.15pm
River Plate 3 - 0 Godoy Cruz
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Pablo Solari

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.62%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result

Sarmiento 16.33% (-0.68)
Draw 21.04% (+0.21)
River Plate 62.62% (+0.48)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.12% (-2.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.95% (-2.11)
Under 2.5 45.05% (+2.11)
Over 3.5 32.6% (-2.06)
Under 3.5 67.4% (+2.06)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5 59.29% (-2.11)
Under 0.5 40.71% (+2.11)
Over 1.5 22.71% (-1.95)
Under 1.5 77.29% (+1.95)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 86.21% (-0.53)
Under 0.5 13.79% (+0.53)
Over 1.5 58.9% (-1.05)
Under 1.5 41.1% (+1.05)

Score analysis

Sarmiento 16.33%
Draw 21.04%
River Plate 62.61%
Sarmiento
1-0 @ 5.04% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 4.49% (-0.20)
2-0 @ 2.27% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 1.35% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.17)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 16.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.99% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 5.61% (+0.50)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.29)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.04%
River Plate
0-1 @ 11.11% (+0.77)
0-2 @ 11.01% (+0.58)
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 7.28% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 6.54% (-0.16)
0-4 @ 3.61% (+0.06)
1-4 @ 3.24% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.25)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.16)
0-5 @ 1.43% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.28% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 62.61%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Aug 1, 2022 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Milton Casco 27' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Mammana 67' goal
  • yellowcard Emiliano Mendez 25'
  • goal Guido Mainero 31'
  • goal Federico Andueza 45'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Meza 54'
  • yellowcard Lucas Castro 82'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
May 1, 2022 1.30am
0
7
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Harrinson Mancilla 6' yellowcard
  • Julian Chicco 78' yellowcard
  • Guido Mainero 85' yellowcard
  • goal Tomas Pochettino 34'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 35'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 45'
  • goal Enzo Fernandez 52'
  • goal Ezequiel Barco 60'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 63'
  • goal Santiago Simon 70'
Copa Diego Maradona
Aug 30, 2021 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Gabriel Alanis 12' goal
  • Lautaro Montoya 19' yellowcard
  • Braian Salvareschi 52' yellowcard
  • Federico Mancinelli 65' yellowcard
  • Braian Salvareschi 81' redcard
  • goal Jorge Carrascal 34'
  • yellowcard Enzo Jeremias Fernandez 46'
  • yellowcard Agustin Fontana 86'
  • goal Enzo Perez 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jose Paradela 90'+3'