Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 43.75%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 27.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.