Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 72.92%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 10.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.19%) and 3-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Vasco da Gama
72.92% ( 0.08)	17.01% ( -0.02)	10.06% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 46.31% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.19% (

-0.03)

41.81% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.79% (

-0.03)

64.21% (

0.03)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.97% (

0.01)

10.03% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.91% (

0.03)

33.09% (

-0.02)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.47% (

-0.12)

48.52% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.39% (

-0.09)

83.61% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 72.91%

Vasco da Gama 10.06%

Draw 17.01%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Vasco da Gama
2-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.13% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.1% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.89% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 72.91%	1-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 17.01%	0-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 10.06%