Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 23, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Misael Delgado
Atletico Mineiro

Carabobo
0 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

FT
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Carabobo and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carabobo

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Last Game: Universitario 1-0 Carabobo
Wednesday, January 29 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last Game: Corinthians 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 76.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Carabobo had a probability of 6.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-2 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (16.12%) and 0-3 (11.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.65%), while for a Carabobo win it was 1-0 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
CaraboboDrawAtletico Mineiro
6.85% (-0.231 -0.23)17.12% (-0.347 -0.35)76.03% (0.584 0.58)
Both teams to score 32.51% (-0.139 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.42% (0.554 0.55)52.58% (-0.548 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77% (0.473 0.47)74.23% (-0.46799999999999 -0.47)
Carabobo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37% (-0.297 -0.3)63% (0.304 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.89% (-0.136 -0.14)92.11% (0.142 0.14)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.86% (0.331 0.33)12.14% (-0.325 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.27% (0.687 0.69)37.74% (-0.681 -0.68)
Score Analysis
    Carabobo 6.85%
    Atletico Mineiro 76.02%
    Draw 17.12%
CaraboboDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 3.53% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-1 @ 1.72% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 6.85%
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-1 @ 7.45% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 1.82% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 17.12%
0-2 @ 17% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-1 @ 16.12% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 11.95% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 6.3% (0.179 0.18)
1-3 @ 5.52% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.91% (0.054 0.05)
0-5 @ 2.66% (0.108 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.23% (0.038 0.04)
0-6 @ 0.93% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 76.02%