Brasileiro | Gameweek 38

Nov 13, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estádio do Pacaembu

Corinthians
0 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vargas (45' pen.)

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions

Last Game: Coritiba 2-2 Corinthians
Wednesday, November 9 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-0 Cuiaba
Thursday, November 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
32.74% ( 0.13)	27.99% ( 0.18)	39.26% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 47.44% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.48% (

-0.63)

58.52% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.9% (

-0.5)

79.09% (

0.49)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.84% (

-0.23)

33.15% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.24% (

-0.26)

69.76% (

0.26)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.98% (

-0.49)

29.02% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.07% (

-0.61)

64.92% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 32.74%

Atletico Mineiro 39.26%

Draw 27.99%

Corinthians	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.74%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.99%	0-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.65% Total : 39.26%