Santos
Brasileiro | Gameweek 33
Oct 22, 2022 at 11pm UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
Corinthians

Santos
0 - 1
Corinthians

FT(HT: 0-0)
Guedes (89')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions
Last Game: Bragantino 0-2 Santos
Tuesday, October 18 at 12am in Brasileiro

Corinthians

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Corinthians (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, October 20 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
SantosDrawCorinthians
45.47% (0.304 0.3)26.88% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)27.65% (-0.249 -0.25)
Both teams to score 48.42% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.79% (0.063000000000002 0.06)56.21% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.74% (0.050999999999998 0.05)77.26% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (0.17699999999999 0.18)24.65% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83% (0.246 0.25)59.17% (-0.243 -0.24)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.26% (-0.167 -0.17)35.74% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (-0.174 -0.17)72.52% (0.17699999999999 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Santos 45.46%
    Corinthians 27.65%
    Draw 26.88%
SantosDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 12.33% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 45.46%
1-1 @ 12.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.81% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 9.07% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 27.65%

Head to Head
Jul 14, 2022 1.30am
Santos
1-0
Corinthians
Leonardo (67' pen.)
Fernandez (84'), Leonardo (85')

Queiroz (26'), Melo (40'), Gustavo (84')
Jun 25, 2022 11pm
Corinthians
0-0
Santos

Roni (3'), Adson (73'), Fagner (79')

Gabriel (23'), Fernandez (81'), Seco (90+5')
Jun 23, 2022 1.30am
Corinthians
4-0
Santos
Nov 21, 2021 7pm
Corinthians
2-0
Santos
Jo (47'), Gabriel (85')
Roni (82')
Aug 8, 2021 8pm
Santos
0-0
Corinthians

Diniz (65'), Mota (86')

Roni (89')