Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.64%).