Corinthians
Brasileiro | Gameweek 31
Oct 9, 2022 at 1am UK
Estádio do Pacaembu
Athletico Paranaense

Corinthians
2 - 1
Athletico PR

Balbuena (6'), Guedes (22' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Erick (81')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 2-2 Corinthians
Wednesday, October 5 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, October 5 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 60.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 15.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawAthletico Paranaense
60.7% (-0.169 -0.17)23.44% (0.084 0.08)15.86% (0.086 0.09)
Both teams to score 43.07% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.66% (-0.167 -0.17)55.34% (0.167 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.45% (-0.136 -0.14)76.55% (0.136 0.14)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.07% (-0.12100000000001 -0.12)17.93% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.25% (-0.21 -0.21)48.75% (0.211 0.21)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.49% (0.018999999999998 0.02)47.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.13% (0.012999999999998 0.01)82.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 60.7%
    Athletico Paranaense 15.86%
    Draw 23.43%
CorinthiansDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 14.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 12.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.1% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 60.7%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.48% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 23.43%
0-1 @ 6.34% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.06% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.36% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 15.86%

Head to Head
Jun 16, 2022 1.30am
Athletico PR
1-1
Corinthians
Terans (80' pen.)
Terans (53'), Vinicius (85')
Moura (70')
Guedes (5')
Ramos (50'), Guedes (75')
Roni (70')
Nov 28, 2021 7pm
Corinthians
1-0
Athletico PR
Santos (65' pen.)
Gabriel (52'), Victor (80'), Gil (84'), Fagner (89'), Santos (90+4')

Christian (49'), Heleno (63')
Aug 22, 2021 8pm
Athletico PR
0-1
Corinthians

Eduardo (62')
Heleno (90+1')
Roni (55')
Feb 11, 2021 12.30am
Corinthians
3-3
Athletico PR
Silva (3', 56'), Gabriel (18')
Gabriel (20'), Santos (61'), Vital (68')
Vinicius (14'), Canesin (35'), Vitinho (73')
Oct 15, 2020 1.30am
Athletico PR
0-1
Corinthians

Erick (45+1'), Vinicius (68'), Kayzer (77')
Everaldo (90+5')
Ramiro (47'), Vital (55'), Walter (85')
Mendez (78')