Flamengo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 32
Oct 16, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Atletico Mineiro

Flamengo
1 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

Everton (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Flamengo
Thursday, October 13 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Ceara
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawAtletico Mineiro
44.95% (-0.224 -0.22)26.14% (-0.078999999999997 -0.08)28.91% (0.299 0.3)
Both teams to score 51.4% (0.417 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.26% (0.454 0.45)52.74% (-0.458 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.63% (0.386 0.39)74.37% (-0.39 -0.39)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62% (0.088999999999999 0.09)23.38% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.64% (0.13 0.13)57.36% (-0.134 -0.13)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (0.465 0.47)32.91% (-0.469 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (0.514 0.51)69.49% (-0.518 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 44.95%
    Atletico Mineiro 28.91%
    Draw 26.13%
FlamengoDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.18% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.13% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 44.95%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.065 0.06)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 8.55% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 28.91%

Head to Head
Jul 14, 2022 1.30am
Flamengo
2-0
Atletico Mineiro
De Arrascaeta (45+1', 64')
Ribeiro (35'), Gomes (55'), Maia (79')

Rodrigues de Souza (43'), Alonso (63'), Mariano (90+8')
Alonso (78')
Jun 23, 2022 1.30am
Atletico Mineiro
2-1
Flamengo
Jun 19, 2022 8pm
Atletico Mineiro
2-0
Flamengo
Fernandez (35'), Ademir (85')
Fernandez (60'), Mariano (63'), Vargas (66'), Ademir (86')

Marinho (55')
Oct 30, 2021 11pm
Flamengo
1-0
Atletico Mineiro
Michael (26')
Ribeiro (39'), Henrique (45'), Alves (90+2'), Rodinei (90+7')

Guga (20'), Silva (27')
Jul 7, 2021 11pm
Atletico Mineiro
2-1
Flamengo
Savarino (51', 54')
Marrony (84')
Arao (89')
Gomes (74')