Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 12.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.

Result
Santos	Draw	Juventude
66.9% ( -0.2)	20.37% ( 0.29)	12.72% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 44.25% (

-1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.54% (

-1.37)

49.45% (

1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.51% (

-1.24)

71.49% (

1.24)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.12% (

-0.48)

13.88% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.71% (

-0.96)

41.28% (

0.96)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.39% (

-1)

48.61% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.32% (

-0.73)

83.67% (

0.72)

Score Analysis

Santos 66.9%

Juventude 12.72%

Draw 20.37%

Santos	Draw	Juventude
1-0 @ 13.32% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.4% Total : 66.9%	1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.59% Total : 20.37%	0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 12.72%