Corinthians
Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Nov 14, 2020 at 10pm UK
Estádio do Pacaembu
Atletico Mineiro

Corinthians
1 - 2
Atletico Mineiro

Davo (6')
Roni (33'), Davo (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arana (61'), Marrony (83')
Keno (31'), Leandro Bagy (42'), Jair (68'), Vargas (88'), Rever (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawAtletico Mineiro
32.77%26.73%40.5%
Both teams to score 51.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.28%53.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.8%75.2%
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.31%30.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.06%66.94%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93%26.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89%61.11%
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 32.77%
    Atletico Mineiro 40.5%
    Draw 26.73%
CorinthiansDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 7.51%
2-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 2.96%
3-0 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 1.99%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 32.77%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 8%
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 10.75%
1-2 @ 8.54%
0-2 @ 7.23%
1-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 40.5%