Atletico Mineiro
Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 2, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Mineirão

Atletico Mineiro
3 - 1
Carabobo

Hulk (16'), Paulinho (18'), Edenilson (73')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pernia (45+3')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Atletico Mineiro and Carabobo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Carabobo 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, February 23 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Carabobo

All competitions
Last Game: Carabobo 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, February 23 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 85.33%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Carabobo had a probability of 3.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (15.1%) and 1-0 (13.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.07%), while for a Carabobo win it was 0-1 (1.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawCarabobo
85.33% (0.36199999999999 0.36)11.24% (-0.18 -0.18)3.43% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 28.47% (-0.933 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.27% (-0.226 -0.23)42.73% (0.226 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.86% (-0.225 -0.23)65.13% (0.223 0.22)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.68% (0.033000000000001 0.03)7.32% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.54% (0.091000000000008 0.09)26.46% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09)
Carabobo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
30.72% (-1.018 -1.02)69.28% (1.017 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.29% (-0.3801 -0.38)94.71% (0.379 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 85.31%
    Carabobo 3.43%
    Draw 11.24%
Atletico MineiroDrawCarabobo
2-0 @ 17.33% (0.24 0.24)
3-0 @ 15.1% (0.23 0.23)
1-0 @ 13.25% (0.15 0.15)
4-0 @ 9.88% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 6.36% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.135 -0.14)
5-0 @ 5.16% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 3.62% (-0.081 -0.08)
6-0 @ 2.25% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.9% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.02% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 85.31%
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.051 0.05)
1-1 @ 4.87% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 1.17% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 11.24%
0-1 @ 1.86% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 3.43%

Head to Head
Feb 23, 2023 12.30am
Second Round
Carabobo
0-0
Atletico Mineiro

Gonzalez (21'), Pernia (40')

Paulinho (35'), Pedrinho (77'), Mariano (90+5')