Copa Libertadores
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Mar 16, 2023 12.30am
3
1
HT :
0
0
FT
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
-
Paulinho
49'
-
Paulinho
81'
-
Hulk
88'
-
Fernando Uribe
90'+3'
Atletico Mineiro vs Millonarios - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 68.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
Result
Atletico Mineiro
68.32%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
19.18%
▲
(+0.09)
Millonarios
12.5%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
47.29%
▼
(-0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.02%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 2.5
44.98%
▲
(+0.54)
Over 3.5
32.66%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 3.5
67.34%
▲
(+0.52)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5
87.89%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
12.11%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
62.32%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 1.5
37.68%
▲
(+0.34)
Millonarios Goals
Over 0.5
53.81%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 0.5
46.19%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 1.5
18.13%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 1.5
81.87%
▲
(+0.37)
Score analysis
Atletico Mineiro
68.31%
Draw
19.18%
Millonarios
12.5%
Atletico Mineiro
2-0
@
12.46%
▲
(+0.14)
1-0 @ 11.81% ▲ (+0.21)
2-1 @ 9.63% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 68.31%
1-0 @ 11.81% ▲ (+0.21)
2-1 @ 9.63% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 68.31%
Draw
1-1
@
9.12%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 19.18%
0-0 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 19.18%
Millonarios
0-1
@
4.32%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 12.5%
1-2 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 12.5%
Head to Head
Copa Libertadores
-
David Macalister Silva
42'
-
Paulinho
66'