Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 68.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 12.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Millonarios
68.32% ( 0)	19.18% ( 0.08)	12.5% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 47.29% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.02% (

-0.53)

44.98% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.66% (

-0.51)

67.34% (

0.52)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.89% (

-0.15)

12.11% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.32% (

-0.32)

37.68% (

0.33)

Millonarios Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.81% (

-0.46)

46.19% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.13% (

-0.36)

81.87% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 68.31%

Millonarios 12.5%

Draw 19.18%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Millonarios
2-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.21% Total : 68.31%	1-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.75% Total : 19.18%	0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.12% Total : 12.5%