Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 24, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa

U. Catolica
0 - 0
Millonarios

FT
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Universidad Catolica and Millonarios.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universidad Catolica

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Last Game: Union La Calera 3-2 U. Catolica
Tuesday, May 24 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Millonarios

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Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Millonarios
Sunday, January 15 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Millonarios had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Millonarios win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Universidad CatolicaDrawMillonarios
45.82% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)27.05% (-0.055 -0.05)27.13% (0.135 0.14)
Both teams to score 47.58% (0.241 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.89% (0.262 0.26)57.11% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.02% (0.21 0.21)77.98% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.12% (0.075999999999993 0.08)24.88% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.51% (0.105 0.1)59.49% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Millonarios Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34% (0.256 0.26)36.65% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.56% (0.256 0.26)73.44% (-0.259 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Universidad Catolica 45.81%
    Millonarios 27.13%
    Draw 27.05%
Universidad CatolicaDrawMillonarios
1-0 @ 12.68% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 45.81%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.12% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.59% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 27.13%