Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Santos and Universidad Catolica.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santos 1-1 Internacional
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Atletico Mineiro vs. Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | America Mineiro | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Santos | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 10 | 1 | 13 |
Last Game: Union La Calera 3-2 U. Catolica
Tuesday, May 24 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, May 24 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
| 52.43% | 26.95% | 20.62% |
| Both teams to score 41.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.53% | 61.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.66% | 81.34% |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.28% | 23.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.15% | 57.85% |
| Universidad Catolica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.66% | 45.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.8% | 81.2% |
| Score Analysis |
Santos 52.42%
Universidad Catolica 20.62%
Draw 26.95%
| Santos | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
| 1-0 @ 15.47% 2-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 8.81% 3-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 4.22% 4-0 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.34% Total : 52.42% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 3.48% Other @ 0.47% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 8.51% 1-2 @ 4.84% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 1.28% 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.72% Total : 20.62% |
How you voted: Santos vs U. Catolica
Santos
78.3%Draw
17.4%Universidad Catolica
4.3%23
Form Guide


