Atletico Mineiro
4 - 1
Vasco

Arana (14'), Savarino (18'), Guga (29' pen.), Keno (37' pen.)
Felipe Borrero Caicedo (72'), Borrero (72'), Rodrigues de Souza (77'), Alonso (87')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Benitez (8')
Andrey (6'), Castan (39'), Benitez (78')
Andrey (61')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Vasco da Gama.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Vasco da Gama
54.47%	24.54%	20.98%

Both teams to score 48.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.26%

52.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.63%

74.37%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.71%

19.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.96%

51.03%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.1%

39.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.44%

76.55%

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 54.47%

Vasco da Gama 20.98%

Draw 24.54%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 12.66% 2-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-0 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.92% Total : 54.47%	1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.54%	0-1 @ 7.07% 1-2 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.35% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.34% Total : 20.98%

Atletico Mineiro4 - 1Vasco

Data Analysis

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Atletico Mineiro
4 - 1
Vasco