Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Bragantino.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Bragantino |
| 40.99% | 27.6% | 31.4% |
| Both teams to score 48.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.61% | 57.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.79% | 78.2% |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% | 27.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.99% | 63.01% |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.49% | 33.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.85% | 70.15% |
| Score Analysis |
Vasco da Gama 40.99%
Bragantino 31.4%
Draw 27.59%
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Bragantino |
| 1-0 @ 11.89% 2-1 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.99% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.4% |


