Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 59.34%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
