Atletico Mineiro
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 6, 2023 at 11pm UK
Mineirão
Club Libertad

Atletico Mineiro
0 - 1
Libertad

FT(HT: 0-1)
Gomez (9')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Atletico Mineiro and Club Libertad.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-1 Millonarios
Thursday, March 16 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Club Libertad

All competitions
Last Game: Libertad 1-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 11.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawClub Libertad
68.96% (-0.187 -0.19)19.08% (0.077999999999999 0.08)11.96% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 45.99% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.16% (-0.061 -0.06)45.84% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.85% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)68.15% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.81% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)12.19% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.16% (-0.146 -0.15)37.83% (0.143 0.14)
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.37% (0.15 0.15)47.62% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.05% (0.111 0.11)82.95% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 68.94%
    Club Libertad 11.96%
    Draw 19.08%
Atletico MineiroDrawClub Libertad
2-0 @ 12.85% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 12.21%
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.02% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.75% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 2% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.48% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 68.94%
1-1 @ 9.06% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.54% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 19.08%
0-1 @ 4.31% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.36% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.6% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 11.96%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Libertad

Atletico Mineiro
73.3%
Draw
20.0%
Club Libertad
6.7%
15